Colney Heath vs Shefford Town & Campton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colney Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
CRA
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
HAT
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
RBF
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AYL
2 - 0
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
COL
3 - 1
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Shefford Town & Campton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
STC
3 - 2
BIG
33%
21%
47%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STC
1 - 3
LON
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
STC
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
4 - 0
STC
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
STC
2 - 0
BAL
36%
22%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |