Colmarberg vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
79.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmarberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
JGI
5 - 1
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
WIN
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DCE
9 - 1
COL
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
RLL
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
14 - 0
COL
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
3 - 1
ERP
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JGI
1 - 2
MER
16%
17%
67%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
WIN
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
0 - 1
MER
30%
21%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |