Colmar vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
13º
1º
17
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 3
COL
23%
24%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PON
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
THA
0 - 0
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
BRC
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
SAR
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
SAR
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
SAR
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
MET
35%
25%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |