Colmar II vs Lunéville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
THA
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
RCE
1 - 2
COL
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
DIJ
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
COL
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
VES
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lunéville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LUN
0 - 3
TRO
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
2 - 3
ILL
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
STP
2 - 1
LUN
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
0 - 2
BSU
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
1 - 2
JAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |