Colmar II vs Jarville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
SAI
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
COL
6 - 1
ILL
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COL
5 - 0
BSU
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STP
3 - 1
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
LUN
61%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
JAR
1 - 1
VES
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
JAR
4 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
JAR
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JAR
2 - 2
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
STP
1 - 2
JAR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |