Colmar II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
AMN
8 - 0
COL
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COL
2 - 3
BIE
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 0
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COL
3 - 3
AUX
13%
19%
69%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAN
10 - 1
COL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ILL
2 - 0
THA
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
ILL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 1
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 3
ILL
68%
20%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
ILL
52%
21%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |