Collex-Bossy vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
16º
11º
65
1º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 0
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
ECH
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 4
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
FCA
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DAR
4 - 0
COL
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAR
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STA
5 - 2
MAR
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
ODG
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
ECH
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |