UD Collerense vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CFP
1 - 0
CLL
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CLL
3 - 1
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CLL
0 - 2
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
FLN
1 - 1
CLL
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CLL
2 - 1
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PCE
2 - 3
FLN
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
PCE
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PCE
1 - 2
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
PBL
6 - 0
PCE
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PCE
0 - 6
PXD
17%
24%
59%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -2 |