UD Collerense vs PE Sant Jordi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
18º
18º
0
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 70 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 53 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
79% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CLL
1 - 2
SNF
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
CLL
51%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 1
CLL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CLL
4 - 1
SLL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SNF
5 - 1
CLL
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PE Sant Jordi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
4 - 2
JOR
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JOR
0 - 2
CFP
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JOR
1 - 0
POR
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
JOR
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JOR
0 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |