UD Collerense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 2
CLL
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CLL
4 - 0
ATL
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CFP
0 - 1
CLL
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CLL
2 - 5
MNC
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MLL
3 - 1
CLL
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
SRF
35%
28%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LLO
0 - 0
MER
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
MNU
35%
27%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
MER
61%
22%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |