UD Collerense vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
15º
10º
25
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 41 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 37 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 25 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 18 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MJG
0 - 3
CLL
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CLL
2 - 0
JOR
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CLL
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CLL
1 - 2
SNF
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
CLL
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MNC
5 - 1
MER
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 0
MNC
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
3 - 0
MNC
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MNC
0 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MNC
1 - 1
CFP
48%
27%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |