UD Collerense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
UDA
5 - 2
CLL
29%
24%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CLL
1 - 1
CFP
53%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CLL
0 - 2
ALC
50%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
CLL
69%
20%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CLL
0 - 3
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 2
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PXD
0 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
PCE
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |