UD Collerense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PXD
1 - 0
CLL
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 1
PCE
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SDF
2 - 0
CLL
72%
19%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CLL
1 - 1
SLL
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MNC
2 - 2
CLL
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
CON
19%
25%
57%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
PXD
18%
24%
59%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |