Europa FC vs FCB Magpies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
5º
2º
37
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JOS
2 - 0
CEU
39%
23%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
CEU
4 - 2
GLA
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
LRI
3 - 2
CEU
41%
21%
39%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
CEU
2 - 1
LYN
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
CEU
0 - 1
LRI
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FCB Magpies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 1
LYN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JOS
1 - 3
MAG
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
EUR
0 - 1
MAG
6%
13%
81%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 5
LRI
32%
25%
44%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
1 - 3
MAG
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |