College 1975 vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
COL
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
LRI
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
COL
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COL
2 - 4
MAN
17%
20%
62%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
EUR
4 - 0
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LRI
1 - 1
JOS
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CAD
1 - 0
JOS
8%
14%
78%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JOS
0 - 1
ANT
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 1
SHE
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
JOS
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |