College 1975 vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
8º
10º
11º
19
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COL
0 - 4
MAG
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CEU
5 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
5 - 1
COL
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
3 - 0
MON
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 1
JOS
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
2 - 1
LYN
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 6
JOS
7%
15%
78%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 3
JOS
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |