Colima vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
10º
4º
14
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
GAV
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COR
4 - 5
COL
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
INT
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 1
COL
60%
24%
17%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
REB
2 - 1
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 2
REB
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GAV
0 - 0
LUL
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 3
CAT
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
LUL
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 1
ATS
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |