Colima vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
76.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
12º
12º
9
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
1% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
MFC
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
COL
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
ATS
18%
24%
59%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CSI
2 - 1
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
IRA
66%
19%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
IRA
15%
23%
63%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 1
RVC
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 0
ADP
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | +1 |