Colima vs Gavilanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
65.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
12º
12º
5
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
1% | 83.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
51%
20%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
5 - 2
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
IRA
7%
17%
77%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
MFC
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gavilanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
4 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
GAV
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
REB
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |