Coles vs Lobios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RUA
0 - 3
COL
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
CEA
56%
20%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
COL
35%
22%
42%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
ARE
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 2
COL
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lobios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LOB
2 - 2
ROC
35%
23%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 2
LOB
53%
23%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOB
3 - 4
CEN
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LOB
0 - 0
OUT
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARR
4 - 1
LOB
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |