Coleraine vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
7º
6º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
DER
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 5
COL
14%
22%
63%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 3
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 4
COL
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 0
NEW
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 0
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 5
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRU
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |