Coleraine vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
9º
7º
5
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 62 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 55 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 54 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 52 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 31 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
61% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
COL
3 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LAR
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
LOU
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 5
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
LOU
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 2
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
5 - 1
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |