Coleraine vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
6º
32
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
COL
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
LIN
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLE
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CLI
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |