Coleraine vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
COL
4 - 3
CLI
21%
21%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
WAR
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
POR
4 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 3
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MOY
1 - 5
DUN
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |