Coleraine vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DON
0 - 1
COL
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |