Coleraine vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
5º
4º
64
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
CLI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 1
CLI
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |