Coleraine vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 0
COL
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
4 - 2
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 0
RRF
94%
5%
1%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |