Coleraine vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
LAR
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 3
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
CRU
6 - 1
GLE
89%
8%
2%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 1
CRU
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |