Coleraine vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
3 - 3
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
DON
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
BAL
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIS
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
5 - 0
CRU
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
15%
22%
64%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |