Coleraine vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 2
COL
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
COL
3 - 3
CLI
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 2
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 2
CRU
42%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 4
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |