Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
9º
8º
22
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 71 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 55 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 30 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LAR
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
COL
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GLE
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |