Colegiales vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 3
ESP
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
COL
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
SUA
0 - 4
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SMG
1 - 1
STM
16%
25%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 2
SMG
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SMG
0 - 0
CAD
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SMG
2 - 0
MID
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MID
2 - 2
SMG
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |