Colegiales vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
0 - 2
COL
23%
28%
50%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
TAL
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UAI
0 - 3
COL
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 2
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 2
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
MER
2 - 5
AND
20%
28%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARQ
0 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
JJU
21%
26%
52%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
MER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
ACA
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |