Colegiales vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
COL
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COL
2 - 4
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
FEN
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ACA
48%
31%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
DEF
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ATL
22%
29%
50%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |