Colegiales vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 0
COL
27%
30%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 4
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 2
COL
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COM
0 - 2
COL
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
STM
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
39%
31%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
44%
29%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |