Colegiales vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
COL
67%
22%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COL
5 - 1
FEN
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 0
COL
69%
21%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
MER
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
COL
60%
25%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
SUA
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALM
29%
30%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 0
ESP
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
ALM
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
ALM
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |