Colchester United vs West Bromwich Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
COL
0 - 1
MKD
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 3
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
COL
0 - 1
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
DON
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
WBA
1 - 1
FUL
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 0
WBA
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
WBA
1 - 1
TOT
34%
27%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
WBA
1 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |