Colchester United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
EXE
0 - 0
COL
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
COL
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
STE
0 - 0
COL
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 0
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 0
SWI
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PLY
1 - 2
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |