Colchester United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
COL
1 - 3
NOT
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
STA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
LUT
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
SWI
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 2
YEO
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 0
CUM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |