Colchester United vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
COL
0 - 2
BRE
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COL
3 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COL
4 - 3
BRA
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
COL
3 - 2
LEY
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LOW
2 - 1
SWI
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
3 - 0
TIV
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
EVE
0 - 1
SWI
29%
28%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
EAS
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PAU
4 - 5
SWI
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |