Colchester United vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
COL
1 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
7%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
STE
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BOR
3 - 3
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
POR
21%
25%
53%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLD
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
SOU
71%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |