Colchester United vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 2
COL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COL
6 - 0
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
POS
11%
16%
74%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WYC
2 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
HUL
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
40%
24%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
QPR
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
WOK
0 - 2
REA
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |