Colchester United vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
DOV
1 - 1
COL
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
CHA
19%
22%
60%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
COL
0 - 5
IPS
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
WEA
0 - 3
COL
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
DUL
0 - 2
COL
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
BCF
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
POR
1 - 3
BUR
7%
16%
77%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
FLE
24%
24%
51%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
LEE
1 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
KID
1 - 2
POR
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |