Colchester United vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 0
COL
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
DAG
1 - 1
COL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 0
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
CAM
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
12%
20%
69%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
POR
2 - 4
STF
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
HAL
2 - 3
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
BBU
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |