Colchester United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 3
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
COL
2 - 2
BRI
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
MAN
4 - 2
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
COL
1 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
PLY
4 - 1
STO
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
BCF
0 - 3
PLY
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
PLY
2 - 2
OLD
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TRA
2 - 1
PLY
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |