Colchester United vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
CRE
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
COV
0 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
CUM
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 1
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HEM
2 - 0
OXF
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 0
BOG
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
2 - 3
POO
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OXF
4 - 2
LEI
33%
24%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |