Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BRI
3 - 1
COL
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
COL
1 - 3
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
COL
3 - 1
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SWI
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
2 - 0
POS
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
BBU
2 - 0
OLD
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
2 - 1
BPO
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
TRA
2 - 2
OLD
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
OLD
4 - 2
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |