Colchester United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SWI
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WRE
1 - 1
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
OPA
1 - 2
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 1
TRA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 0
BHA
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
OLD
4 - 2
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
NOT
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 1
QPR
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
STO
2 - 0
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |