Colchester United vs Morecambe analysis

Colchester United Morecambe
55 ELO 58
-1.7% Tilt -10.3%
3268º General ELO ranking 2658º
107º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
35.2%
Colchester United
26.1%
Draw
38.6%
Morecambe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
Colchester United
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.7%
Win probability
Morecambe
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colchester United
+11%
-12%
Morecambe

Points and table prediction

Colchester United
Their league position
Morecambe
CURR.POS.
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
22º
22º
58
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stockport County
92
92
100%
Wrexham AFC
88
88
100%
Mansfield Town
86
86
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
78
78
100%
Crewe Alexandra
71
71
100%
Doncaster Rovers
71
71
100%
Crawley Town
70
70
100%
Barrow
69
69
0%
Bradford City
69
69
0%
AFC Wimbledon
10º
65
65
10º
100%
Walsall
11º
65
65
11º
100%
Gillingham
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Harrogate Town
13º
63
63
13º
100%
Notts County
14º
61
61
14º
0%
Morecambe
15º
58
61
15º
0%
Tranmere Rovers
16º
57
57
16º
100%
Accrington Stanley
17º
57
57
17º
100%
Newport County
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Swindon Town
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Salford City
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Grimsby Town
21º
49
49
21º
100%
Colchester United
22º
45
45
22º
100%
Sutton United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Forest Green Rovers
24º
42
42
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Colchester United
Morecambe
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Colchester United
Morecambe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colchester United
Colchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2023
NEW
Newport County
2 - 1
Colchester United
COL
56%
24%
20%
56 59 3 0
30 Sep. 2023
COL
Colchester United
5 - 4
Notts County
NOT
16%
22%
62%
55 66 11 +1
23 Sep. 2023
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Colchester United
COL
59%
23%
18%
55 59 4 0
19 Sep. 2023
COL
Colchester United
0 - 5
Tottenham Hotspur U21
TOT
50%
22%
28%
57 50 7 -2
16 Sep. 2023
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Mansfield Town
MAN
19%
25%
56%
57 69 12 0

Matches

Morecambe
Morecambe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2023
MOR
Morecambe
1 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
43%
26%
31%
57 57 0 0
30 Sep. 2023
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
1 - 2
Morecambe
MOR
26%
24%
49%
57 49 8 0
23 Sep. 2023
MOR
Morecambe
2 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
29%
25%
46%
56 61 5 +1
19 Sep. 2023
MOR
Morecambe
0 - 3
Liverpool  U21
LIV
51%
21%
27%
57 51 6 -1
16 Sep. 2023
GIL
Gillingham
2 - 1
Morecambe
MOR
44%
27%
30%
58 62 4 -1