Colchester United vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
STE
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 2
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 2
STA
71%
17%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
PIC
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
NAN
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |